Monday, December 22, 2008

Did George W. Bush's misguided attempts to help the poor ignite the financial crisis fuse?

One of the more interesting things I've read lately was a story that ran on the front page of Sunday's New York Times regarding President Bush and his role in the U.S. housing clusterfuck that sparked the current worldwide financial crisis. I've often said on this here blog and in private conversations that I don't believe that Bush, unlike what many seem to believe, is an evil man who did things in office out of some deep-seeded desire to do shitty things. Not at all. What I do believe is that he is at heart a good man who really tried to do things as President that he thought were going to help people the people of this country. It just so happened that most of the decisions he made along the way were spectacularly wrong, and that he surrounded himself with an inner circle of people who were either ill-prepared for their jobs, or did their jobs with the interests of the country at large on the back burner to the interests of their personal ideologies, and he remained fiercely loyal to these people, despite their glaring gross incompetence. Loyalty, it seems, is an admirable trait in a pet, but in a president, not so much.

Anyway, this article sort of backs up that notion. An excerpt...

From his earliest days in office, Mr. Bush paired his belief that Americans do best when they own their own home with his conviction that markets do best when let alone.

He pushed hard to expand homeownership, especially among minorities, an initiative that dovetailed with his ambition to expand the Republican tent — and with the business interests of some of his biggest donors. But his housing policies and hands-off approach to regulation encouraged lax lending standards.

Mr. Bush did foresee the danger posed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage finance giants. The president spent years pushing a recalcitrant Congress to toughen regulation of the companies, but was unwilling to compromise when his former Treasury secretary wanted to cut a deal. And the regulator Mr. Bush chose to oversee them — an old prep school buddy — pronounced the companies sound even as they headed toward insolvency.

As early as 2006, top advisers to Mr. Bush dismissed warnings from people inside and outside the White House that housing prices were inflated and that a foreclosure crisis was looming. And when the economy deteriorated, Mr. Bush and his team misdiagnosed the reasons and scope of the downturn; as recently as February, for example, Mr. Bush was still calling it a “rough patch.”

The result was a series of piecemeal policy prescriptions that lagged behind the escalating crisis.

“There is no question we did not recognize the severity of the problems,” said Al Hubbard, Mr. Bush’s former chief economics adviser, who left the White House in December 2007. “Had we, we would have attacked them.”

Looking back, Keith B. Hennessey, Mr. Bush’s current chief economics adviser, says he and his colleagues did the best they could “with the information we had at the time.” But Mr. Hennessey did say he regretted that the administration did not pay more heed to the dangers of easy lending practices. And both Mr. Paulson and his predecessor, John W. Snow, say the housing push went too far.

“The Bush administration took a lot of pride that homeownership had reached historic highs,” Mr. Snow said in an interview. “But what we forgot in the process was that it has to be done in the context of people being able to afford their house. We now realize there was a high cost.”

For much of the Bush presidency, the White House was preoccupied by terrorism and war; on the economic front, its pressing concerns were cutting taxes and privatizing Social Security. The housing market was a bright spot: ever-rising home values kept the economy humming, as owners drew down on their equity to buy consumer goods and pack their children off to college.

But for much of Mr. Bush’s tenure, government statistics show, incomes for most families remained relatively stagnant while housing prices skyrocketed. That put homeownership increasingly out of reach for first-time buyers.

So Mr. Bush had to, in his words, “use the mighty muscle of the federal government” to meet his goal. He proposed affordable housing tax incentives. He insisted that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac meet ambitious new goals for low-income lending.

Concerned that down payments were a barrier, Mr. Bush persuaded Congress to spend up to $200 million a year to help first-time buyers with down payments and closing costs.

The president also leaned on mortgage brokers and lenders to devise their own innovations. “Corporate America,” he said, “has a responsibility to work to make America a compassionate place.”

And corporate America, eyeing a lucrative market, delivered in ways Mr. Bush might not have expected, with a proliferation of too-good-to-be-true teaser rates and interest-only loans that were sold to investors in a loosely regulated environment.

“This administration made decisions that allowed the free market to operate as a barroom brawl instead of a prize fight,” said L. William Seidman, who advised Republican presidents and led the savings and loan bailout in the 1990s. “To make the market work well, you have to have a lot of rules.”

But Mr. Bush populated the financial system’s alphabet soup of oversight agencies with people who, like him, wanted fewer rules, not more.


Read the entire piece here...

The Reckoning

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

I was hoping I'd see this article on your blog..my personal favorite line from the excerpt
“How,” he wondered aloud, “did we get here?”

thatgirlinnewyork said...

you're far too generous with this man and his administration, c.b., but I respect your point of view.

compassion for americans is to allow them to buy things they cannot otherwise afford more easily? prioritizing war, and privatization of social security is helping americans? even if this was, indeed, the work of those who supported bush, we need to expect the judgment of a leader to be astute enough as to know when their cabinet is working at cross-purposes with the needs of the citizenry. this lack of oversight on the president's part means that there will be no funding for the most basic of needs for many people, for some time to come. hell, bush has already "prioritized" bailouts of banks and failed manufacturers over housing and education, so clearly no lessons have been learned here.

Anonymous said...

clearly if the financial markets would have been under the intense scrutiny of our country's philosopher kings (e.g. sen. robert byrd) things would be absolutely peachy right now.

interesting that they make no mention of fannie mae's easing of credit in 1999.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C0DE7DB153EF933A0575AC0A96F958260

Anonymous said...

Then there's this NYT gem from 1999:

In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.

The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.
...
In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C0DE7DB153EF933A0575AC0A96F958260